Monday, July 21, 2008

Introduction to Chance

Today we started the second half of the course that will deal with probability and statistical inference (the process of learning from data).

What did we learn?

1. Life is uncertain.
2. We use probability to quantify the uncertainty we see.
3. We got a little practice assigning probabilities.

We'll learn about probability through playing and analyzing simulation games. We introduced our first game Big League Baseball based on rolls of three dice. A red die represents the pitch and two dice determine the "in-play" outcome.

Tomorrow, we'll simulate Big League Baseball in the lab and we'll introduce the second game All-Star Baseball based on spinners.

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